Shiv Sena Eknath Shinde’s faction leads in five seats, while Shiv Sena (UBT) leads in eight, as per the latest trends by the Election Commission
Battle lines are drawn in Maharashtra between Mahayuti alliance and the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), with the latest trends on Tuesday showing the NDA leading in 17 seats while the INDIA bloc ahead in 30 seats. Union minister Piyush Goyal is leading in Mumbai North, NCP’s Supriya Sule is claiming gain over sister-in-law and rival Sunetra Pawar from Baramati.
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As per the Election Commission website, the BJP is leading in 13 seats in Maharashtra while Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT) and NCP Sharad Pawar faction is gaining grounds in 11, 10 and 7 seats. Independent candidate Vishal Prakashbapu Patil is still holding strong in Sangli, by a margin of around 50,000 votes.
Across 48 Lok Sabha constituencies in Maharashtra, the Mahayuti alliance (BJP, CM Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena and Deputy CM Ajit Pawar-led NCP) and Maha Vikas Aghadi (Sharad Pawar-led NCP, Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena (UBT) and Congress) are vying for a larger share in Maharashtra’s political pie.
BREAKDOWN OF SHIV SENA VS SHIVA SENA SEATS
The Shiv Sena (UBT) and Eknath Shinde factions are contesting on 13 seats in the state. Eknath Shinde’s Shiv Sena leads in five seats, while Shiv Sena (UBT) leads in eight, as per the trends around 1 pm.
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• Buldhana- Sena leads (Jadhav Prataprao Ganpatrao)
• Kalyan- Sena leads (Shrikant Shinde)
• Thane- Sena leads (Naresh Ganpat Mhaske)
Maval- Sena leads (Shrirang Appa Chandu Barne)
• Aurangabad- Sena leads (Bhumare Sandipanrao Asaram)
• Mumbai South Central- Sena UBT leads (Anil Desai)
• Mumbai South- Sena UBT leads (Arvind Sawant)
• Hingoli- Sena UBT leads (Nagesh Bapurao Aashtikar Patil)
• Yavatmal Washim- Sena UBT leads (Sanjay Deshmukh)
• Hatkanangale- Sena UBT leads (Satyajeet Babasaheb Patil (Aaba) Sardukar)
• Shirdi- Sena UBT leads (Bhausaheb Rajaram Wakchaure)
• Nashik- Sena UBT leads (Rajabhau Prakash Waje)
• Mumbai North West- Sena UBT leads (Amol Gajanan Kirtikar)
Most pollsters predicted the NDA to win 23 to 32 seats and INDIA bloc to gain 16 to 25 seats. The News18 Mega Exit Poll showed the NDA could win 32-35 seats, INDIA bloc may gain 15-18 seats, with six-eight for the Congress.
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THE MAHA FIGHT
Between 2019 and 2024, the Sena split into Maharashtra Chief Minister Eknath Shinde-led and Uddhav Balasaheb Thackeray (UBT) factions; and the Nationalist Congress Party has Ajit Pawar and Sharad Pawar (SP) factions.
In Mahayuti, the BJP contested 28 seats, Shinde 14 and Ajit Pawar-led NCP got five seats. The MVA gave 21 seats to Shiv Sena (UBT), Congress 17 and 10 to NCP (SP).
Of the 48 seats in Maharashtra, Mumbai accounts for six, while the adjoining Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) has four. Mumbai’s six seats include Mumbai North, Mumbai North East, Mumbai North West, Mumbai North Central, Mumbai South and Mumbai South Central. The MMR has Thane, Kalyan, Bhiwandi and Palghar.
In 2019, the NDA won a majority with 41 seats. Three of Mumbai’s seats went to the BJP and the remaining three were won by the Shiv Sena.
In 2014, the BJP won a majority in Maharashtra with 23 seats, followed by Shiv Sena winning 18 and NCP winning 4.
The BJP-led alliance had won 42 seats in 2014 and 41 in 2019. The BJP had won 23 of the 25 seats it had contested in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, while its then alliance partner — undivided Shiv Sena — won 18 of the 23 seats. The undivided NCP, as part of the opposition alliance, had contested 19 seats and managed to win four.
The results of the Lok Sabha elections will be key for Maharashtra, which is set for the assembly elections later this year.
